A.J. Green has long been a staple in the fantasy world. In his eight years as an NFL wide-receiver, he’s put up over 1,000 yards six times. When healthy, he can be on of the best receivers in the league, and help leads you to fantasy gold. Recently, it seems as if he’s fallen off a bit. Only playing in nine games last season, Green put up 46/694/6. Now that may not look like the best state line, but to put that into perspective, if he’d have played every game on the season, 81/1233/10 would’ve been his stat line. That’s mid-tier WR1 numbers. The question is, can he play at an elite and healthy level again?
With new head coach Zac Taylor at the helm, Green has expressed excitement for the new schemes coming to Cincinnati. Taylor runs a similar play scheme as Jay Gruden, who was the offensive coordinator for Green during his first three years in the league. The excitement that he has expressed will hopefully be shown on the field in Green’s age 31 season.
A main concern going into the 2019 season for the Bengals is the offensive line. It wasn’t necessarily a good unit last season, and it might do Andy Dalton some good to have a little more time in the pocket to target Green downfield. The draft may be where Cincinnati can shore up the offensive line for next season, and provide the offense with a few more opportunities. Having a workhorse running back in Joe Mixon, as well as a solid WR2 in Tyler Boyd will help in keeping the defense honest as well as letting Green have his 1-on-1 opportunities.
A.J. Green currently has an ADP of 3.03 according to Fantasy Football Calculator. That means that he’s being drafted as the third pick, in the third round on average. I see plenty of value there, as long as Green stays healthy, but there is injury risk with a player like Green. I would take players such as Keenan Allen, who for some reason is still being slept on, as well as Aaron Jones and Marlon Mack ahead of Green, purely based on ceiling and history. Now I know Allen hasn’t been the most reliable, but he can be the WR1 on any given week. Players that I’d take green over might be George Kittle, Devonta Freeman, and Robert Woods.
As long as Green can stay healthy, I can see him being a low end WR1 throughout the season. His history with Andy Dalton and his excitement to play in he new system will hopefully help pave his way into being a relevant fantasy option again.
2019 Stat Projection: 80/1,100/9